Leave the Sinking Ship Or Go Down with It : Two Leaders Face this choice

Patrick Gossage • July 9, 2024

US President Biden and Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau are both facing the agonizing decision of either quitting their positions or seeing their parties and legacies obliterated in electoral defeat.

The pressure is enormous on both and is consuming all media. Speculation is rife as to who might replace these leaders, with both of them making absolute commitments to stay on, and as Trudeau says endlessly, to “continue to deliver for Canadians.” Both feel they have been traditionally underestimated; have shown they can get up and fight again - and are simply very resilient. There is a shared inability by both leaders’ offices to admit that there is any fatal weakness in their leaders.


In Biden’s case, despite millions observing his stumbling early in the recent Biden-trump debate, the ever-weakening defense is it was a one due to a cold and fatigue from overseas travel and not to be compared with the accomplishments of his productive three years in office. This is paralleled by Trudeau’s defaulting to his child care, dental care and housing initiatives when asked why he should stay on given his long lasting unpopularity in the polls.


In addition, he has explained at length that he is in a virtuous battle against the ascent of a virulent right wing threat on democracy, a claim destroyed by a recent long commentary by Andrew Coyne in the Globe and Mail. He pointed to the huge win of the left-wing labour party in Britain and the dispatching of the populist party in Poland (and now the left wing ascendancy in France). “It is more than a stretch for the Prime Minister to pretend his own troubles are part of some worldwide trend to instability, or to insinuate that democracy is on the ballot in the next election,” he writes. Or to suggest that Poliviere is the same threat to democracy as Trump.


In addition, both leaders are personally convinced that they alone are qualified to take on their more popular rivals. Trudeau, in particular, has characterized the coming electoral fight with rival Poliviere as one he could never back away from.


Interestingly both have had their characters assassinated by their rivals. This is the constantly repeated refrain from Poliviere on Justin Trudeau: “Trudeau is not worth the cost. After nine years he’s doubled the debt, doubled housing costs, increased debt by 80%...Canada now has the worst per person income growth in the entire G7, worst mortgage debt growth in all those countries, when will he realize that the more, he spends the worse things get?”


Trump’s attacks on Biden are even worse: “They're (the Biden administration) are just destroying our country, and if we don't take it back — if we don't take it back in '24, I really believe we're not going to have a country left."


Are we to believe that this kind of savage and bitter attacking of your opponent (Polivere was banished from the House for calling Trudeau’s policies “wacko”) actually is effective in maintaining your popularity? Apparently, it does. Our politics has come to this. Personal vendettas over policy.

Trudeau recently argued fruitlessly that his policy approach was admired by other world leaders, citing the Japanese prime minister, Trudeau reported as saying “he looks to what we're doing to build an economy that leaves no one behind.” The German chancellor he said, “talked at length about our values of compassion and diversity.” This in answer to Poliviere’s repeatedly calling Canada “broken”.


Both clearly will resist to the bitter end any call to resign. I have lived the basic truism of all national leaders – it is the hardest thing in the world to admit you have lost popularity and the time has come to quit. The staff around you whose lives depend on your staying argue that you can do it to the bitter end. And you believe you can. For Trudeau belling the cat will take major party figures or would be candidates to go public which is only beginning to happen.



And what can we speculate will be the nail in the coffin for either? In Trudeau’s case, a couple more months of disastrous polling showing a Liberal rout in an election a year away. I believe in the principle that no leaders go into an election sure to lose will play. For Biden one more public demonstration that his age makes him confused and incompetent will seal his fate.

Only then can come the crowning of new leaders that might just result in the continuation of progressive leadership in both countries.

Patrick Gossage Insider Political Views

By Patrick Gossage July 7, 2025
When I was at university in the sixties, it was easy to love being Canadian. Patriotism was easy in the era of Pearson, peacekeeping and his Nobel Prize. He introduced defining landmark social programs like the Canada Pension Plan and universal health care. He also was crucial in launching the new Canadian flag, promoting bilingualism, and fostering a more inclusive immigration policy. His government got into the business of Canadian cultural promotion with the establishment of Telefilm Canada in 1967 to fund Canadian filmmakers. (The crown corporation, the National Film Board, was established in 1939.) The Pearson era went out with a proud Canadian bang at Expo67. Canada was prosperous, our identities, either largely British and French, were secure. The writer and philosopher George Grant, put it this way: “English speaking Canadians have been called a dull and costive lot. In these dynamic days, such qualities are particularly unattractive to the chic. Yet our stodginess has made us a society of greater simplicity, formality, and perhaps even innocence than the people to the south.” This is the society in which most anglo seniors today grew up. Not chic, looking with some envy at the glamour of Hollywood and Broadway, but modest and content. But the seeds of change were there. In Toronto. Italian and Portuguese laborers were being brought in to build subways and suburbs. Canada was about to add to the core French and English culture, and value assumptions far more diverse, and multicultural influences. Multiculturalism became official government policy in 1988. In his speech to the House of Commons, Trudeau stated that no singular culture could define Canada, and that the government accepted “the contention of other cultural communities that they, too, are essential elements in Canada.” A policy of multiculturalism was implemented to promote and respect cultural diversity, and to in fact fund ethnic efforts to preserve and develop their cultures within Canadian society, the opposite of the US “melting pot” objective. Section 27 of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms officially recognizes multiculturalism as a Canadian value. In a 1971 speech in Winnipeg to a Ukrainian audience, Trudeau said: “What could be more absurd than the concept of an “all Canadian boy or girl! “ Trudeau greatly enlarged the makeup of the body of immigrants by expanding the ‘family class’. In 1978 immigration act changes allowed new Canadians to sponsor their parents of any age. Those from less-developed nations found this particularly appealing. Trudeau senior’s major accomplishment which ensured the protection of all minority rights was the repatriation of our constitution woth the Charter of Rights and Freedoms Now In Canada, approximately 23.0% of the population are first-generation immigrants, meaning they were born outside of Canada. This figure represents the highest proportion of immigrants in Canada in 150 years and is the highest among G7 countries. Over half of our population are either of English or French heritage. The torch of openness to refugees and immigrants and “diversity is our strength” has been taken up by Justin Trudeau in a big way. He told the New York Times Magazine in October 2014 that Canada could be the “first post national state”. He added: “There is no core identity, no mainstream in Canada.” Many would argue that, yes, there is a core set of Canadian values. Often not recognized, they are regularly reflected in government policies. They set us apart from the United States, form part of our identity, and enrich our life experiences. Pearson and the Trudeaus have been instrumental in implementing Liberal values, ensuring equality of opportunity across the country and that no minority is trampled on. Foremost is universal publicly funded health care, whatever its problems. His son will be remembered for the Canadian Child benefit which today grants parents up to over $6,000 per child, which greatly reduced child poverty and $10 a day daycare. Justin Trudeau also launched publicly funded denticare and started a pharmacare program. Recipients of these programs obviously see them as essential parts of being Canadian. The generally shared values of Canadians include the importance of collective wellbeing, co-operation and social equality and a belief that active governments can improve our lives. Justin Trudeau’s self-declared “feminism” and his making cabinet one half women showed a dedication to equal rights for women which he tirelessly promoted. He was forever promoting the value of “diversity is our strength”. We genuinely welcome immigrants and show a high degree of tolerance for differences. Perhaps the best indication of this is the late seventies welcoming of over 60,000 Vietnamese boat people. As well, after 2015, over 44,000 government and privately sponsored Syrian refugees were settled and helped to establish themselves in Canada. Prime Minister Trudeau personally welcomed the first arrival in Toronto. While seemingly uncontrolled immigration of foreign students and refugees has become more controversial recently, it is accepted that we need immigrants, and the flow is now more rationally controlled. His father also ruled over a Canada that was very pro-Canadian and even anti American – not hard when the United States was immersed in the nightmare of Vietnam. He was well aware of the dangers signaled by George Grant in Lament for a Nation, which predicted the virtual integration of the Canadian and US economies. He established the Foreign Investment Review Agency to break the wholesale takeover of Canadian businesses by US firms. He established Petro Canada to get a window into the largely foreign owned oil and gas sector. And his government was very active in supporting and encouraging Canadian culture. The CRTC mandated Canadian content on our airwaves, spawning a healthy music industry. His son substantially increased funding for the public broadcaster CBC. Then in 1988 came a major shift in our identity and sovereignty. Prime Minister Mulroney wanted a free trade deal with the US and John Turner, the defeated Liberal leader, finally found his voice: “I will not let Brian Mulroney sell out our sovereignty. I will not let this great nation surrender its birthright. I will not let Brian Mulroney destroy a 120-year-old dream called Canada, and neither will Canadians”. But Turner lost, and a new deal sealed the situation we are in today with over 70% of our exports going stateside and Trump determined to wage economic warfare with a country he feels does not have a right to exist and should be the 51 st state: “Economically we have such power over Canada.” In fact, we have inadvertently given him “all the cards” as Trump likes to say. Turner might well say from the grave, “I told you so!” Sovereignty means more than building our own economy more independent of the United States. It means rebuilding the pride we have as Canadians and actually knowing and cherishing its values so different from those south of us. And this seems to be happening ironically, thanks to Trump’s trumpeting us as a 51 st state. Flags are everywhere and as we celebrate our 158 th birthday there is a new patriotism bursting out across the nation. The national anthem is being enthusiastically sung by audiences at all sorts of gatherings and performances. And worry as we may about the diverse cultures and beliefs of the hundreds and thousands of immigrant adults from every corner of the Globe, we know their children going to public schools will become knowledgeable, committed Canadians. There is a Canadian soul which will not be destroyed.
Doug Ford in a suit and tie is talking into a microphone
By Patrick Gossage June 11, 2025
Who is the is the real Doug Ford? Is it the smiling man walking beside Premier of Alberta Danielle Smith into the meeting of the Premiers with the PM intoning “love is in the air”(!) or the inept initiator of the Green Belt scandal which sold protected land to his developer friends – for which he apologized while reversing the order?
More Posts